Point Pleasant Beach, NJ Marine Weather and Tide Forecast (2024)

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ANZ450 Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 702 Pm Edt Fri Jun 28 2024

.small craft advisory in effect from Saturday evening through Sunday evening - .

Tonight - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 5 seconds and se 2 ft at 8 seconds.

Sat - SE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming S 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: se 4 ft at 5 seconds and se 2 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.

Sat night - S winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Wave detail: se 5 ft at 8 seconds. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.

Sun - SW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Wave detail: S 5 ft at 7 seconds. Showers with a chance of tstms in the morning, then showers and tstms in the afternoon. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.

Sun night - W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 4 ft at 7 seconds and N 2 ft at 3 seconds. Showers and tstms, mainly in the evening.

Mon - N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: se 3 ft at 7 seconds and N 2 ft at 4 seconds.

Mon night - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.

Tue - N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft.

Tue night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.

Wed - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.

Wed night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

ANZ400 702 Pm Edt Fri Jun 28 2024

Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay - High pressure moves out to sea tonight, then a warm front will lift across the mid atlantic area on Saturday. A cold front will move across the east coast Sunday into Sunday night. High pressure builds out of the great lakes region Monday, and across the mid atlantic region Tuesday, then offshore by Wednesday. A cold front is expected late in the week next week.

FXUS61 KPHI 290054 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 854 PM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure moves out to sea tonight, then a warm front will lift across the Mid Atlantic area on Saturday. A cold front will then move across the East Coast Sunday into Sunday night. High pressure builds out of the Great Lakes region Monday, across the Mid Atlantic region Tuesday and then offshore by Wednesday.
A cold front may arrive late next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/
Broad high pressure offshore of New England this evening will continue to move slowly eastward overnight. The pleasant conditions this evening will continue into the early overnight. A strengthening southeast flow behind the departing high, and with a warm front approaching from the west, low level moisture will increase over the area. Surface dew points will rise 8 to 12 degrees over many areas by daybreak Saturday. Stratus develops over the area later tonight too and should persist into Saturday morning. As a result of the increasing moisture and developing cloud cover, lows tonight will be fairly warm, generally in the low to mid 60s, though in the 50s in the southern Poconos and northern New Jersey. Patchy fog is possible, but the developing stratus should mitigate fog formation.

Warm and humid on Saturday. The warm front will be east of the region and will slowly approach from the west. Any convection looks to hold off until late in the day, and even though, mainly focused on the far western zones. Highs will generally be in the mid to upper 80s, though in the 70s along the coasts and in the southern Poconos. With surface dew points in the upper 60s to around 70, max heat index values will be in the upper 80s to low 90s, though in the mid to upper 80s across Delmarva.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
An upper trough over central Canada digs down into the Northern Plains and upper Great Lakes on Saturday. Surface low pressure out ahead of it will moves into eastern Canada, and this will lift a warm front north through the region Saturday night.
Showers and scattered thunderstorms will develop with the approach and passage of the front, and with abundant low level moisture over the area, PWATs will be around 2.5 inches.
Thunderstorms will be capable of heavy rain and localized flooding. Although 0-6 km Bulk Shear will range from 20 to 30 kt in the evening, it will rise to 35 to 40 kt through the overnight hours. As a result, flow should be strong enough for storms to move quickly and mitigate widespread flash flooding.
PWATs may even rise to 2.7 inches through the overnight. A warm and humid night on tap with lows in the low to mid 70s for most of New Jersey and southeast Pennsylvania, but in the mid to upper 70s along the I-95 corridor from Philadelphia to Wilmington, and across Delmarva.

Although some storms may produce locally strong and gusty winds in the evening for the far western zones, the bulk of the activity will occur during the overnight hours. As a result, the severe threat should be mitigated by lower instability. MU

values will be 500 to 750 J/kg in the evening, rising to 1000 J/kg by Sunday morning. However, by then, the bulk of the activity will be tapering off.

The warm front will be north of the area Sunday morning, and a hot and humid airmass spreads into the region on Sunday. Surface dew points will rise well into the 70s with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s. There may be enough cloud cover over the area to keep high temperatures tampered down and from getting even higher. Max heat index values will be in the mid to upper 90s for most of southeast Pennsylvania and portions of northern New Jersey, and in the upper 90s to around 100 elsewhere. This is enough to warrant a Heat Advisory for the I-95 corridor counties and portions of southern New Jersey, which will be issued with this forecast package.

This sets the stage for a potential severe weather outbreak Sunday afternoon and evening. A cold front approaches from the west and a pre-frontal trough develops out ahead of it. Showers and thunderstorms will develop with that trough in the afternoon and continuing through the evening. Instability thresholds will be off the charts, with SB

values upwards of 3000 J/kg, and 35 to 40 kt of 0-6 KM Bulk Shear. SCAPE values in excess of 1000 J/kg indicate the potential for damaging wind gusts. PWATs will be in excess of 2 inches, which indicates potential for heavy rain. However, the strong steering current aloft should mitigate widespread flash flooding. This does not rule out localized flash flooding.

Showers and thunderstorms may linger through Sunday night. Cold front works its way through the region after midnight, and conditions gradually dry out with surface dew points falling into the 50s by Monday morning.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
The first half of the long term forecast is expected to be rather tranquil as high pressure builds out of the Great Lakes region on Monday, across the Mid Atlantic region on Tuesday, then offshore on Wednesday. Temperatures will warm each successive day Monday through Wednesday, but not reach excessive levels through at least Wednesday.

On Thursday, temperatures continue to rise, and will likely reach at least the low to mid 90s for much of the area as a pre- frontal/thermal surface trough develops ahead of an approaching cold front. This will likely be the warmest day of the upcoming week, and some areas might approach advisory levels for some locations.

The cold front is expected to move into the area on Thursday, and could linger near the area Friday and into part of the weekend. There will be a chance of showers and thunderstorms for at least Thursday and Friday.

AVIATION /01Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Tonight...VFR conditions for much of the night.

ceilings expected to develop later tonight and toward daybreak Saturday.

conditions possible but not certain about which sites have the best chance for this. Kept KABE/KILG lower

for now. Southeast winds 5-10 knots. High confidence except for occurrence/timing of

conditions.

Saturday...MVFR, or

in a few spots, to start the day, improving to

later in the morning into the afternoon. Southeast winds 5-10 knots, become southerly through the morning into the afternoon, with gusts 15-20 knots. High confidence overall, moderate confidence on timing of improving conditions.

Outlook...

Saturday night...MVFR/IFR in SHRA/TSRA. Heavy rain at times.

Sunday through Sunday night...VFR initially. Sub

conditions in SHRA/TSRA with potentially damaging winds and heavy rain Sunday afternoon and night. Conditions gradually improve from west to east late Sunday night.

Monday-Wednesday...VFR conditions expected.

MARINE
Sub-Small Craft Advisory conditions tonight through Saturday.
SE around 8 to 12kt tonight, increasing to around 15 kt with gusts to low 20's (kt) on Saturday. VSBY restrictions in fog developing on the ocean waters on Saturday.

Outlook...

Saturday night through Sunday night...A

is now in effect for Saturday night through Sunday. S winds will increase to 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt with seas around 5 ft. Winds may diminish a bit on Sunday, but seas remain elevated. Showers and thunderstorms Saturday night with VSBY restrictions in heavy rain. Another round of showers and thunderstorms Sunday afternoon and evening with potentially damaging winds, VSBY restrictions in heavy rain, and frequent lightning. VSBY restrictions in fog also possible Saturday night and Sunday.
Conditions improve Sunday night.

Monday-Wednesday...Sub Small Craft Advisory conditions expected, although winds could gust around 20 knots on Monday and Wednesday, and seas could be near 4 feet on Monday.

Rip Currents...

Saturday...Southeast winds 10-20 mph with breaking waves of 2 to 4 feet at the beaches and an 8-9 second period are expected. With the steady onshore flow (especially in Cape May/Atlantic/Ocean County)
and increasing wave heights, have elected to with a HIGH risk for rip currents at the Jersey Shore. At the Delaware beaches, wind is more shore parallel. Thus, a MODERATE risk for rip currents is in place.

Sunday...Wind turns more south/southwesterly, though with a shore parallel wind and 2 to 3 foot breakers with a remaining 8 second swell, have elected to go with a MODERATE risk at Cape May/Atlantic/Ocean County with a LOW risk in Monmouth County and the Delaware Beaches.

For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/beach/phi

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 7 PM EDT Sunday for PAZ070-071-102- 104-106.
NJ...Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 7 PM EDT Sunday for NJZ015-017>020- 027.
High Risk for Rip Currents from Saturday morning through Saturday evening for NJZ014-024>026.
DE...Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 7 PM EDT Sunday for DEZ001.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM Saturday to 7 PM EDT Sunday for ANZ450>455.

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